billSJRES115Event Thursday, March 5, 2026Analyzed

A joint resolution to direct the removal of United States Armed Forces from hostilities within or against the Islamic Republic of Iran that have not been authorized by Congress.

Neutral
Impact4/10

Summary

S.J.RES.115, a joint resolution to direct the removal of U.S. Armed Forces from hostilities in Iran, has been introduced in the Senate and referred to the Committee on Foreign Relations. This bill, if passed, would impact defense contractors by potentially reducing military operations, while the recent Presidential Memorandum on domestic petroleum production could mitigate energy market volatility related to Middle East tensions.

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Key Takeaways

  • 1.S.J.RES.115 is an early-stage bill seeking to limit unauthorized military action in Iran, currently referred to the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.
  • 2.The bill does not involve direct funding but could impact the operational scope for defense contractors if enacted.
  • 3.Related bills with similar objectives have faced significant opposition, indicating a difficult legislative path for S.J.RES.115.
  • 4.A recent Presidential Memorandum on domestic petroleum production could mitigate energy market volatility potentially linked to Middle East tensions.

Market Implications

The primary market implication of S.J.RES.115 is a potential, though not guaranteed, reduction in the scope of military operations, which could affect the revenue outlook for defense contractors such as Lockheed Martin ($LMT), Boeing ($BA), General Dynamics ($GD), RTX ($RTX), and Northrop Grumman ($NOC). However, the bill's early stage and the history of similar rejected resolutions suggest that immediate market impact is limited. Concurrently, the Presidential Memorandum on domestic petroleum production could bolster the Energy sector, including companies like Exxon Mobil ($XOM) and Chevron ($CVX), by increasing domestic supply and potentially stabilizing energy prices, thereby offsetting some geopolitical risk that might otherwise arise from Middle East tensions. This executive action provides a structural tailwind for the domestic energy industry, independent of the legislative progress of S.J.RES.115.

Full Analysis

S.J.RES.115 was introduced in the Senate on March 5, 2026, and subsequently referred to the Committee on Foreign Relations. The bill aims to direct the President to remove U.S. Armed Forces from hostilities within or against Iran, unless explicitly authorized by a declaration of war or specific authorization for use of military force. This resolution is currently in the early stages of the legislative process. The bill itself does not authorize or appropriate any funding. Instead, it seeks to establish a policy directive regarding military engagement. The core mechanism is a legislative mandate for the President to withdraw forces, which would directly affect the scope and scale of U.S. military operations in the region. There is no direct money trail associated with this specific bill, as it focuses on policy rather than financial allocation. Structural winners and losers are primarily within the Defense sector. A reduction in military hostilities could lead to decreased demand for certain defense services and equipment, potentially affecting companies like Lockheed Martin ($LMT), Boeing ($BA), General Dynamics ($GD), RTX ($RTX), and Northrop Grumman ($NOC). However, the bill explicitly states it does not prevent the U.S. from defending against attacks, suggesting a baseline level of defense spending would remain. The recent Presidential Memorandum on domestic petroleum production, refining, and logistics capacity, issued on April 20, 2026, aims to stimulate investment in the Energy sector, including companies such as Exxon Mobil ($XOM), Chevron ($CVX), Phillips 66 ($PSX), Marathon Petroleum ($MPC), Kinder Morgan ($KMI), Energy Transfer ($ET), Schlumberger ($SLB), and Halliburton ($HAL). This executive action could provide a counter-balance to potential energy market instability that might arise from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, by increasing domestic supply and stabilizing prices. This bill is in the early stages, having only been referred to committee. Its legislative path includes committee consideration, potential floor votes in both the Senate and House, and ultimately, presidential assent. The existence of multiple related bills (S.J.RES.104, S.J.RES.114, S.J.RES.116, S.J.RES.163, S.J.RES.180) with similar objectives, some of which have already seen motions to discharge rejected, indicates a persistent legislative effort but also significant opposition to such measures. The repeated rejections of discharge motions suggest a challenging path forward for this type of legislation.

Market Impact Score

4/10
Minimal ImpactModerateMajor Market Event

Connected Signals

Matched on shared policy language across AI analyses, with ticker & timing weight

BillStrong LinkNeutral

Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers Resolution, to remove the United States Armed Forces from hostilities against the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Shared: Transfer Schlumberger · Military · Hostilities· Both mention $LMT, $BA, $GD42% match
4/10
BillStrong LinkNeutral

A joint resolution to direct the removal of United States Armed Forces from hostilities within or against the Islamic Republic of Iran that have not been authorized by Congress.

Shared: Res Res · Res Similar · Res· Both mention $LMT, $RTX, $BA38% match
4/10
BillStrong LinkNeutral

A joint resolution to direct the removal of United States Armed Forces from hostilities within or against the Islamic Republic of Iran that have not been authorized by Congress.

Shared: Res · Military · Hostilities· Both mention $LMT, $RTX, $BA38% match
4/10
BillStrong LinkNeutral

A joint resolution to direct the removal of United States Armed Forces from hostilities within or against the Islamic Republic of Iran that have not been authorized by Congress.

Shared: Military · Res · Discharge· Both mention $LMT, $RTX, $BA29% match
4/10
BillStrong LinkBearish

A joint resolution to direct the removal of United States Armed Forces from hostilities within or against the Islamic Republic of Iran that have not been authorized by Congress.

Shared: Relations Aims · Military · Hostilities· Both mention $LMT, $RTX, $BA28% match
4/10
BillStrong LinkNeutral

Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers Resolution, to remove United States Armed Forces from hostilities with Iran.

Shared: Operations Region · Prevent Defending · Baseline Level· Both mention $LMT, $BA, $GD26% match
4/10
BillStrong LinkNeutral

Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers Resolution, to remove United States Armed Forces from hostilities with Iran.

Shared: Reduction Military · Authorization Use · Military· Both mention $LMT, $BA, $GD25% match
4/10
BillNeutral

A joint resolution to direct the removal of United States Armed Forces from hostilities within or against the Islamic Republic of Iran that have not been authorized by Congress.

Shared: Within Iran · Reduction Military · Military17% match
2/10

Related Presidential Actions

Executive orders & memoranda affecting the same sectors or companies

presidential_memorandumApr 20, 2026

Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 303 of the Defense Production Act of 1950, as Amended, on Grid Infrastructure, Equipment, and Supply Chain Capacity

This Presidential Memorandum invokes Section 303 of the Defense Production Act (DPA) to address critical deficiencies in the domestic electric grid infrastructure and its supply chains. It authorizes the Secretary of Energy to make purchases, commitments, and provide financial support to expand the domestic capacity for designing, producing, and deploying grid infrastructure components like transformers, transmission lines, and related manufacturing tools, waiving certain DPA requirements for expediency.

presidential_memorandumApr 20, 2026

Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 303 of the Defense Production Act of 1950, as Amended, on Development, Manufacturing, and Deployment of Large-Scale Energy and Energy‑Related Infrastructure

This presidential memorandum invokes Section 303 of the Defense Production Act (DPA) to accelerate the development, manufacturing, and deployment of large-scale energy and energy-related infrastructure. It authorizes the Secretary of Energy to make necessary purchases, commitments, and financial instruments to expand domestic capabilities in this sector, citing a national energy emergency and the need to avert an industrial resource shortfall.

presidential_memorandumApr 20, 2026

Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 303 of the Defense Production Act of 1950, as Amended, on Natural Gas Transmission, Processing, Storage, and Liquefied Natural Gas Capacity

This presidential memorandum invokes Section 303 of the Defense Production Act (DPA) to expand natural gas and LNG capacity, including pipelines, processing, storage, and export facilities. It directs the Secretary of Energy to implement this determination, including making necessary purchases, commitments, and financial instruments to enable these projects, citing national defense and allied energy security as critical needs.