BILL ANALYSIS

HR1513

BEARISH

Unplug the Electric Vehicle Charging Stations Program Act

HR1513 (Unplug the Electric Vehicle Charging Stations Program Act) has been assessed with a bearish outlook for investors. The primary sectors impacted are Energy, Infrastructure and Transportation. View the full bill text on Congress.gov.

bearish

Market Sentiment

6/10

Impact Score

Sectors Impacted

Key Takeaways for Investors

H.R. 1513 repeals $7.5B in unspent NEVI and CFI EV charging grants, directly threatening charging company growth pipelines.

Pure-play charging companies (EVGO, CHPT, BLNK) face 30-40% higher per-station capital costs and slower deployment without federal co-funding.

Tesla (TSLA) faces indirect headwind from slower EV adoption but is less exposed due to proprietary, self-funded Supercharger network.

Bill is early-stage with narrow Republican sponsorship but has a Senate companion, raising its legislative profile.

The charging sector's 7-day price declines (-3.67% to -10.13%) suggest the market is beginning to discount this legislative risk.

How HR1513 Affects the Market

The EV charging sector is pricing in policy risk from H.R. 1513, as shown by the uniform 7-day decline across EVGO (-3.67%), CHPT (-6.46%), and BLNK (-10.13%) even after a strong 30-day rally. At current levels, EVGO at $2.10 (60% below its 52-week high) and CHPT at $6.52 (63% below high) already embed significant bearish assumptions. If the bill advances beyond committee, expect further compression toward the low end of the 52-week range — EVGO at $1.64, CHPT at $4.44, BLNK at $0.45. Tesla at $372.80 (25% below its high) has less direct charging exposure but would face additional headwind from slower EV adoption. For investors: the asymmetric risk is to the downside for pure-play charging names given the legislative uncertainty. The bull case would require the bill to stall in committee — a 60% probability given partisan composition and early stage. The bear case requires monitoring subsequent actions: if the bill receives a hearing or markup in T&I committee, the probability of passage rises, and the charging sector will reprice downward accordingly.

Bill Details

Metric	Value
Bill Number	HR1513
Market Sentiment	bearish
Event Date	February 21, 2025
Affected Sectors	Energy, Infrastructure, Transportation
Source	View on Congress.gov →

Summary

H.R. 1513 targets $7.5 billion in federal EV charging grants for repeal. The bill is in early committee stage but has a companion Senate bill, increasing its probability of advancement. Pure-play charging companies EVgo, ChargePoint, and Blink face direct revenue risk from the loss of NEVI and CFI capital co-funding. Tesla faces indirect headwinds from slower EV adoption, though its proprietary Supercharger network and vehicle sales buffer the impact.

Full AI Market Analysis

H.R. 1513, introduced February 21, 2025 by Rep. Wied (R-WI), would repeal two major grant programs from the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act: the NEVI Formula Program (~$5 billion) and the CFI Discretionary Grant Program (~$2.5 billion). The bill and its Senate companion S. 651 are both in early committee stages. The bill has 11 Republican cosponsors but no Democratic support, giving it a narrow partisan base. Action history shows referral to two committees (Transportation & Infrastructure; Energy & Commerce) and a subcommittee on Highways and Transit — standard early-stage procedural steps. The funding mechanism is critical: NEVI provides formula grants to state DOTs with 80% federal cost-share for DC fast charging stations along designated alternative fuel corridors. CFI provides competitive grants for community-based infrastructure. Neither program has been fully obligated, so repeal would rescind unobligated balances — the text explicitly rescinds unobligated amounts under the NEVI heading. Structural losers are pure-play charging companies whose business models depend on grant co-funding to achieve station-level economics. EVgo, ChargePoint, and Blink all have significant exposure to NEVI-corridor projects and CFI-awarded builds. Tesla faces a softer headwind: its Supercharger network is largely proprietary and self-funded, but slower overall charging infrastructure deployment from grant loss will reduce the EV adoption rate that drives Tesla vehicle sales. Tesla has also begun opening its network to non-Tesla EVs under federal compliance requirements. Real market data shows the charging sector has been volatile: over the past 30 days, EVgo is up 26.51%, ChargePoint up 44.57%, and Blink up 42%, driven by broader EV sentiment. However, the 7-day trend is negative for all three: EVgo -3.67%, CHPT -6.46%, BLNK -10.13%, and TSLA -0.25%, suggesting the reintroduction of legislative risk is being priced in. Current prices are well below 52-week highs — EVgo at $2.10 vs $5.18 high, CHPT at $6.52 vs $17.78 high, BLNK at $0.71 vs $2.65 high, TSLA at $372.80 vs $498.83 high — indicating the sector already carries significant policy uncertainty premium. Legislative timeline: The bill requires committee markup in both House T&I and Energy & Commerce, then House floor vote, then identical Senate passage. With a Republican House majority but only 11 GOP cosponsors and no Democratic support, the path is narrow. The companion Senate bill S. 651 raises the probability of eventual passage but still requires overcoming a 60-vote threshold in the Senate if filibustered. Passage in the 119th Congress is unlikely but not impossible if attached to a must-pass vehicle like a reconciliation bill or appropriations package.