billHR9094Event Tuesday, June 2, 2026Analyzed

To appropriate sums for the Secretary of Agriculture to provide block grants to States for losses of revenue as a consequence of certain freezes or cold weather conditions.

Neutral

Summary

This bill is a placeholder: it authorizes unspecified sums for block grants to states for freeze-related revenue losses, but has been referred to two committees with no appropriation amount and no further action. At this early stage, there is zero measurable market impact for any agriculture company. The bill must receive a specific funding authorization and subsequent appropriations before any real economic effect is possible.

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Key Takeaways

  • 1.HR9094 authorizes 'sums' — no dollar figure — for state block grants for freeze revenue losses. Zero near-term fiscal impact.
  • 2.Referred to Appropriations and Budget committees. No hearings, no markups, no companion bill in Senate. Early stage.
  • 3.No agriculture company ($CTVA, $ADM, $BG, $DE, $CF, $MOS) will see any revenue change from this bill in its current form.

Market Implications

No market implications at this time. A bill with zero authorized spending, referred to two committees on the same day it was introduced, with no Senate companion, has no priced-in impact. Any future move would require: (1) a specific dollar amount, (2) committee passage, (3) House floor vote, (4) Senate passage, (5) a separate appropriations act. That is a 2027+ timeline at best. Do not trade this signal.

Full Analysis

On 2026-06-02, Representative Scott Franklin (R-FL) introduced HR9094, titled 'To appropriate sums for the Secretary of Agriculture to provide block grants to States for losses of revenue as a consequence of certain freezes or cold weather conditions.' The bill has been referred to the House Committees on Appropriations and the Budget. It has 22 cosponsors but no committee hearings or markups scheduled. The bill does not specify a funding amount — it says 'to appropriate sums,' which means Congress must still decide the dollar figure in a separate appropriations act. This is an early-stage authorization bill, not an appropriations bill. The money trail: even if this bill passes, it only authorizes Congress to later appropriate funds. Actual cash to states requires a separate appropriations bill. Given the 119th Congress is in its second session (2026), the window for moving this through both chambers and appropriating funds before the end of the term (January 2027) is tight. The agriculture sector tickers listed — Corteva, ADM, Bunge, Deere, CF Industries, Mosaic — show no revenue sensitivity to this bill in its current state. Freeze events affect crop yields and planted acreage, but compensation to states for lost tax revenue does not directly benefit agribusiness input suppliers, processors, or equipment manufacturers. State governments receiving block grants could theoretically use them to offset property tax declines or support local ag infrastructure, but the bill language is vague. Historical precedent: similar ad-hoc freeze disaster bills (e.g., the 2022 Florida citrus freeze compensation) were targeted to specific crops with known funding levels. This bill has none. The legislative velocity shows four actions all on the same day (introduction and referral) — zero momentum beyond introduction. Referral to both Appropriations and Budget is standard for any spending bill, not a sign of fast-track treatment. This bill is at the very beginning of a potentially years-long process.

Intelligence Surface

Cross-referenced against federal contracts, SEC insider filings & congressional trade disclosures

Unconfirmed

No confirming evidence found yet from contracts, insider trades, or congressional activity

$$ADM● Neutral
0

What the bill does

Same block grant mechanism. ADM is a grain processor and origination company. Freeze events reduce grain supply and increase raw commodity prices, compressing crush or processing margins.

Who must act

USDA Secretary and state governments.

What happens

State grants could theoretically support processor investments in cold-weather resilience (e.g., grain drying infrastructure, storage). But no specific funding level or allowable use is defined in the bill text or summary.

Stock impact

ADM's grain processing and origination is exposed to freeze risk in its supply chain. However, this bill provides no direct financial benefit to ADM. At best, it might ease state-level farm income losses that could indirectly support farmer cash flow and planting decisions next season. Impact is indirect and immaterial.

$$BG● Neutral
0

What the bill does

Same block grant for state revenue losses from freezes. Bunge is an agribusiness and food processor. Like ADM, any benefit is indirect via state stabilization of farm incomes.

Who must act

USDA Secretary and state governments.

What happens

No measurable change to Bunge's revenue or costs. Freeze events that reduce crop output are negative for crush volumes; this bill does not prevent that, only offers potential state compensation after the fact. With zero authorized funding, no real consequence.

Stock impact

Bunge's core business — oilseed processing and grain origination — sees no direct revenue or cost impact. This is a placeholder bill with no fiscal substance yet.

Connected Signals

Matched on shared policy language across AI analyses, with ticker & timing weight

BillBearish

A bill to regulate market concentration and competition in the food and agriculture industry, and for other purposes.

Shared tickers: $ADM, $BG, $CF
BillNeutral

To ensure the reliable delivery of water to the United States under the 1944 Water Treaty, to provide a mechanism to compensate United States agricultural producers for economic losses resulting from delivery shortfalls, and for other purposes.

Shared tickers: $BG, $ADM
BillNeutral

To amend the Commodity Exchange Act to authorize certain treatment of customer property during commodity broker bankruptcy.

Shared tickers: $ADM, $BG
BillBullish

A bill to amend the Agricultural Marketing Act of 1946 to permanently authorize the Resilient Food Systems Infrastructure Program, to establish regional food systems hubs, and for other purposes.

Shared tickers: $ADM, $BG
BillBullish

To amend the Emergency Food Assistance Act of 1983 to allow certain States to directly purchase commodities, and for other purposes.

Shared tickers: $BG, $ADM
BillNeutral

A bill to amend the Organic Foods Production Act of 1990 to modernize oversight by directing a study on risk-based oversight, defining risk to organic integrity, and authorizing regulatory reforms, and for other purposes.

Shared tickers: $BG, $ADM
BillNeutral

A bill to amend the Dairy Production Stabilization Act of 1983 to establish a dairy market stabilization program, and for other purposes.

Shared tickers: $BG, $ADM
BillNeutral

Promoting Access to Local Agriculture Act of 2026

Shared tickers: $ADM, $BG

Related Presidential Actions

Executive orders & memoranda affecting the same sectors or companies

presidential_memorandumJul 23, 2026

Actions by the United States in the Investigations under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974 of the Acts, Policies, and Practices of 60 Economies Related to the Failure of Each Economy to Impose and Effectively Enforce a Prohibition on the Importation of Goods Produced with Forced Labor

This Presidential Memorandum directs the U.S. Trade Representative to impose Section 301 tariffs on imports from 60 economies due to their failure to prohibit or effectively enforce forced labor import bans. Tariffs are set at 10% ad valorem for certain economies with partial enforcement or commitments, and 12.5% for others, with exemptions for raw materials and products causing domestic supply issues, and plans for textile tariff-rate quotas by September 2026. The action aims to eliminate the identified unreasonable trade practices through these tariffs and incentives.

proclamationJul 20, 2026

Imposing Additional Duties to Offset Canadian Discrimination Against the Commerce of the United States with Respect to Alcoholic Beverages

This proclamation imposes a 50% ad valorem duty on certain Canadian products under Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930, effective August 19, 2026, to retaliate against Canadian provincial bans on U.S. alcoholic beverages that have reduced U.S. exports by 81%. It directs the U.S. Trade Representative and Customs and Border Protection to implement the duties via the Harmonized Tariff Schedule, targeting a range of Canadian goods to offset the trade disadvantage.

proclamationJul 20, 2026

Imposing Additional Duties to Offset Canadian Discrimination Against the Commerce of the United States with Respect to Dairy

President Trump, citing Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930, imposes a 50% additional ad valorem duty on certain Canadian products (listed in Annex II) effective August 19, 2026, to offset Canada's discriminatory dairy tariff-rate quota allocation that disadvantages U.S. cheese exporters compared to EU exporters under CETA. The action aims to pressure Canada to remove the discrimination and expand opportunities for U.S. dairy producers within the U.S. market.

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