billHR6853Event Thursday, December 18, 2025Analyzed

Securing Energy Supply Chains Act

Bearish
Impact4/10

Summary

The Securing Energy Supply Chains Act, HR6853, mandates the Secretary of Energy to create a 'Non-Procurement List' of foreign entities detrimental to U.S. security, specifically targeting critical materials and battery suppliers. This directly restricts U.S. companies from sourcing from listed foreign entities, forcing a shift to domestic or allied suppliers. Companies with significant reliance on foreign critical material or battery supply chains face increased costs and supply disruptions.

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Key Takeaways

  • 1.The bill mandates the creation of a 'Non-Procurement List' for foreign critical material and battery suppliers deemed detrimental to U.S. security.
  • 2.U.S. companies will be restricted from sourcing from listed foreign entities, forcing a shift to domestic or allied suppliers.
  • 3.This will likely increase costs and create supply chain disruptions for U.S. companies reliant on foreign critical material and battery supply chains.

Market Implications

The Securing Energy Supply Chains Act introduces significant supply chain risk and cost implications for U.S. companies in the energy and manufacturing sectors, particularly electric vehicle manufacturers. Companies like Tesla ($TSLA), General Motors ($GM), and Ford ($F) face potential increased procurement costs and supply disruptions as they are forced to shift away from listed foreign suppliers. Foreign entities such as BYD ($BYDDF) are likely to be directly impacted by losing access to the U.S. market. While domestic critical material producers like Albemarle ($ALB) could see increased demand, the overall market sentiment for companies heavily reliant on complex global supply chains for batteries and critical materials is bearish due to the mandated restrictions and associated costs. The bill's early stage means its full market impact is yet to be realized, but the direction of policy is clear.

Full Analysis

The Securing Energy Supply Chains Act (HR6853) was introduced in the House on December 18, 2025, and subsequently referred to the House Committee on Energy and Commerce. This bill, sponsored by Rep. Fallon (R-TX), requires the Secretary of Energy to establish an 'Energy Non-Procurement List' within 90 days of enactment. This list will identify entities deemed detrimental to U.S. national security, energy security, economic security, public safety, or foreign policy, with a prioritization on entities involved in critical materials and battery supply chains. The bill explicitly states that U.S. companies will be restricted from sourcing from entities on this list. This bill does not authorize specific funding amounts; instead, it establishes a regulatory mechanism that will alter supply chain dynamics. The primary impact will be on U.S. companies that currently rely on foreign suppliers for critical materials and batteries, particularly those from countries that may be deemed 'foreign entities of concern.' These companies will be compelled to re-evaluate and potentially restructure their supply chains, shifting towards domestic or allied sources. This shift is likely to result in increased procurement costs and potential supply disruptions in the short to medium term as new supply relationships are established and domestic production capacity scales. Structural winners under this legislation would be domestic and allied producers of critical materials and batteries, such as Albemarle ($ALB), which could see increased demand for their products. Structural losers include foreign entities likely to be placed on the 'Non-Procurement List,' such as China-based BYD ($BYDDF), which would lose access to the U.S. market for its batteries and related components. U.S. electric vehicle manufacturers like Tesla ($TSLA), General Motors ($GM), and Ford ($F) are also positioned as losers due to their reliance on global supply chains for batteries and critical materials. The forced shift to potentially more expensive or less readily available domestic/allied sources will likely increase their production costs and could impact their competitive pricing. Recent market data shows mixed performance for companies in related sectors. Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. ($SQM), a major lithium producer, is currently at $88.35, up 1.61% over 7 days and 6.83% over 30 days, indicating some positive sentiment in the broader lithium market. Albemarle ($ALB) is at $186.14, down 4.16% over 7 days but up 3.73% over 30 days. BYD Company Limited ($BYDDF) is at $13.26, down 3.28% over 7 days. U.S. EV manufacturers Tesla ($TSLA) at $376.67, GM ($GM) at $76.99, and Ford ($F) at $12.31 have all seen slight declines over the past 7 days, down 2.8%, 2.54%, and 2.53% respectively. The bill is in its early stages, having only been referred to committee, meaning significant legislative steps remain before potential enactment. The recent Presidential Memoranda on the Defense Production Act, particularly those focused on grid infrastructure and large-scale energy infrastructure, align with the bill's intent to strengthen domestic energy supply chains, potentially amplifying the pressure on U.S. companies to source domestically.

Market Impact Score

4/10
Minimal ImpactModerateMajor Market Event

Related Presidential Actions

Executive orders & memoranda affecting the same sectors or companies

presidential_memorandumApr 20, 2026

Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 303 of the Defense Production Act of 1950, as Amended, on Grid Infrastructure, Equipment, and Supply Chain Capacity

This Presidential Memorandum invokes Section 303 of the Defense Production Act (DPA) to address critical deficiencies in the domestic electric grid infrastructure and its supply chains. It authorizes the Secretary of Energy to make purchases, commitments, and provide financial support to expand the domestic capacity for designing, producing, and deploying grid infrastructure components like transformers, transmission lines, and related manufacturing tools, waiving certain DPA requirements for expediency.

presidential_memorandumApr 20, 2026

Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 303 of the Defense Production Act of 1950, as Amended, on Development, Manufacturing, and Deployment of Large-Scale Energy and Energy‑Related Infrastructure

This presidential memorandum invokes Section 303 of the Defense Production Act (DPA) to accelerate the development, manufacturing, and deployment of large-scale energy and energy-related infrastructure. It authorizes the Secretary of Energy to make necessary purchases, commitments, and financial instruments to expand domestic capabilities in this sector, citing a national energy emergency and the need to avert an industrial resource shortfall.

presidential_memorandumApr 20, 2026

Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 303 of the Defense Production Act of 1950, as Amended, on Natural Gas Transmission, Processing, Storage, and Liquefied Natural Gas Capacity

This presidential memorandum invokes Section 303 of the Defense Production Act (DPA) to expand natural gas and LNG capacity, including pipelines, processing, storage, and export facilities. It directs the Secretary of Energy to implement this determination, including making necessary purchases, commitments, and financial instruments to enable these projects, citing national defense and allied energy security as critical needs.