Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers Resolution, to remove United States Armed Forces from hostilities with Iran.

What happened: On April 28, 2026, Rep. Garamendi (D-CA) introduced HCONRES92, a concurrent resolution directing the President to remove U.S. armed forces from hostilities with Iran under the War Powers Resolution. The bill was referred to the House Committee on Foreign Affairs. As of May 29, 2026 — one month later — there has been no further action. The bill remains in early-stage committee referral with zero legislative velocity.

The money trail: This bill contains no funding authorization or appropriation. It is a directive under the War Powers Resolution — a procedural resolution of disapproval, not a spending bill. It allocates $0. Even if passed, it would not directly affect federal procurement or contractor revenue. Any market impact would be indirect through changes in geopolitical risk perception, not through contract cancellations or spending changes.

Structural winners and losers: No specific defense contractors are named or directly affected by this bill. A withdrawal from hostilities with Iran would reduce demand for certain munitions (air-to-ground missiles, naval interceptors) and sustainment services in the CENTCOM theater. Companies with high Middle East theater exposure include $LMT (missiles, F-35 sustainment), $RTX (missiles, sensors, Patriot), $NOC (B-2, electronic warfare), and $GD (naval ships, munitions). However, since this bill has near-zero passage probability, no causal chain meets the 0.65 confidence threshold.

Competitive landscape: Without real market data on stock price reactions, we note that defense sector revenue is predominantly driven by the annual NDAA and appropriations bills — not by War Powers resolutions. The 13 identical companion bills (HCONRES87-94) suggest this is a coordinated messaging campaign by a caucus, not a serious legislative push. None have advanced beyond committee referral.

Timeline: No further actions scheduled. For this resolution to become binding, it must pass both chambers and be signed by the President — or passed over veto. The current House committee referral is the first step of a long and uncertain path. No markup or hearing has been announced. In the 119th Congress with divided government, War Powers resolutions historically do not advance.