billS1255Event Wednesday, April 2, 2025Analyzed

Cormorant Relief Act of 2025

Neutral

Summary

The Cormorant Relief Act of 2025 is an early-stage bill that would require the USFWS to reissue and expand cormorant culling authority to additional states and private lake/pond managers. The bill authorizes zero funding and provides only regulatory relief for aquaculture producers. Market impact on $ADM, $BG, and $TSN is negligible given the indirect benefit pathway and the bill being at the earliest legislative stage (referred to committee).

See which stocks are affected

Key takeaways, market implications, full AI analysis, and connected signals are available to HillSignal members.

Already have an account? Log in

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Cormorant Relief Act authorizes zero federal spending — it is purely regulatory relief for aquaculture producers
  • 2.Bill is at earliest stage (referred to committee, no hearings) with companion bill also stalled
  • 3.Impact on $ADM, $BG, $TSN is negligible due to indirect benefit pathway and tiny revenue exposure
  • 4.Recent stock gains for these tickers (+3% to +9% in 7 days) are driven by factors unrelated to this bill

Market Implications

Near-term market implications for , , and are essentially zero. The bill is stuck at committee referral with no legislative momentum. trades at $75.35 (near its 52-week high of $75.43), up 8.84% in the last 7 days — a move driven by soy crush margins and strong ethanol demand, not cormorant policy. at $129.11 (+3.37% 7-day) is approaching its 52-week high of $131.93 on oilseed export demand. at $64.40 (+0.58% 7-day) is range-bound. Investors should not attribute recent price action to this bill. If the bill somehow advanced to a committee markup — which is unlikely before 2027 — the impact would still be micro-cap in scale for these multi-billion-dollar agribusinesses.

Full Analysis

On April 2, 2025, Senator Cotton (R-AR) introduced S. 1255, the Cormorant Relief Act of 2025, with four cosponsors. The bill was read twice and referred to the Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works. The bill remains in early-stage status with no committee hearings or markups reported. A companion bill, H.R. 2293, was introduced in the House and has also been referred to committee. The legislation has zero amendments and only two procedural actions on record.

The bill carries no appropriated funding — it mandates the Secretary of the Interior to reissue a depredation order by April 2, 2026, expanding existing cormorant culling authority from the original 13 states (primarily in the Mississippi Flyway) to include California, Colorado, Connecticut, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Missouri, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. It also extends culling authority from aquaculture facility operators to private lake and pond managers. The mechanism is entirely regulatory relief: reduced bird predation lowers fish crop losses and operating costs for aquaculture producers, but no federal funds flow to any company.

Structural winners are U.S. aquaculture producers (mostly catfish, tilapia, trout operations concentrated in the Delta and southern states). Downstream beneficiaries include , , and through feed supply and processing linkages, but these are tertiary — aquaculture feed represents less than 5% of total protein meal demand for ADM and BG. The companies named in the user query show recent upward price momentum: at $75.35 (near 52-week high of $75.43, +8.84% 7-day), at $129.11 (+3.37% 7-day, near 52-week high of $131.93), and at $64.40 (+0.58% 7-day). These moves are more attributable to broader agricultural commodity rallies and earnings expectations than to an early-stage cormorant bill.

The legislative path remaining: the bill needs committee consideration, a vote in the Senate, passage in the House (where companion H.R. 2293 is also at committee stage), and presidential action. No hearings have been scheduled. With 119th Congress activity currently focused on appropriations, tax extension, and defense authorization, this bill has minimal probability of near-term enactment.

Related Presidential Actions

Executive orders & memoranda affecting the same sectors or companies

Exec OrderSep 16, 2026

Providing Meaningful Water Quality Improvements Through Collaboration and Oversight of Federal Support

This executive order revokes Executive Order 13508, which had mandated Chesapeake Bay restoration efforts, and directs federal agencies to prioritize funding for direct, on-the-ground water quality projects. It also instructs the EPA to work with states to assess and encourage the repeal of stormwater management fees (rain taxes) that have burdened residents, aiming to reduce costs while maintaining environmental progress.

proclamationSep 8, 2026

Excluding Certain Canadian Alcoholic Beverages from Importation into the United States in Response to Continued Discrimination Against the Commerce of the United States with Respect to Alcoholic Beverages

President Trump, invoking Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930, orders an import ban on certain Canadian alcoholic beverages effective September 29, 2026, escalating previous 50% ad valorem duties. This action targets Canadian discrimination against U.S. alcoholic beverages, citing Canada's broken commitments and additional retaliation. The ban replaces the tariff for specified products with a complete exclusion from entry into the United States.

proclamationSep 8, 2026

Modifying the Scope of Products of Canada Subject to the Additional Duties Imposed to Offset Canadian Discrimination Against the Commerce of the United States with Respect to Alcoholic Beverages

This proclamation modifies the list of Canadian products subject to a 50% ad valorem additional duty originally imposed under Proclamation 11046, effective September 15, 2026. It adds certain products to the duty (Annex I, Part A) and removes others (Annex I, Part B), based on recommendations from senior executive branch officials to better serve the public interest while still offsetting Canadian discrimination against U.S. alcoholic beverages. The action directs U.S. Customs and Border Protection to implement the changes and maintains that the duties are in addition to any existing section 232 duties.

Free — no credit card

Get the next market-moving signal before the news does

HillSignal scores every Congressional bill, federal contract, and insider filing for market impact and emails you the high-conviction ones — free, no credit card.

Weekly digest — the congressional activity that actually moved markets that week, in plain English. Free, one email.

Free forever plan · No credit card · Unsubscribe in one click

Want the live terminal too? Create a free account →