billHR9367•Event Thursday, June 18, 2026Analyzed

Stop Lawmakers From Predicting Act

Neutral

Summary

HR 9367 is an early-stage bill restricting Members of Congress from trading prediction markets on government policies. No market impact yet.

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Key Takeaways

1.No direct public company impact.
2.Bill is in earliest legislative stage.
3.No funding or spending authorized.

Market Implications

No material market implications. Prediction market operators are not publicly traded; no tickers are affected. The bill is too early-stage to generate investable signals.

Full Analysis

This bill was introduced on June 18, 2026, and referred to the House Committee on House Administration with 4 cosponsors. It is in its earliest stage with no hearings or markup scheduled. 2) The bill imposes a prohibition on covered individuals (Members, spouses, dependents) from entering prediction market contracts dependent on government policy outcomes. It does not authorize any funding or spending. 3) No publicly traded companies are directly impacted; prediction market operators (e.g., Kalshi, Polymarket) are private or foreign. Stock tickers like $WINR (private or delisted) or public exchanges like $NDAQ are not materially affected. 4) The legislative path is long: must pass committee, full House, Senate, and be signed into law. 5) Without market impact, this is a procedural event.

Key Legislators

Rep. Steil, Bryan [R-WI-1]

Connected Signals

Matched on shared policy language across AI analyses, with ticker & timing weight

BillStrong LinkNeutral

To reaffirm the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's authority to enforce prohibited activity on prediction markets.

Shared: Prediction Market · Polymarket Private · Market Contracts28% match

BillStrong LinkNeutral

A resolution amending rule XXXVII of the Standing Rules of the Senate to prohibit Senators from trading on prediction markets.

Shared: Prediction Market · Entering Prediction · Contracts Dependent25% match

BillStrong LinkBearish

Congressional Prediction Market Ban Act of 2026

Shared: Prediction Market · Market Contracts · Prediction25% match

BillNeutral

To amend the Commodity Exchange Act to prohibit wildfire event contracts on prediction markets, and for other purposes.

Shared: Prediction Market · Market Contracts · Market Operators23% match

Related Presidential Actions

Executive orders & memoranda affecting the same sectors or companies

Exec OrderOct 22, 2026

DECREASING HOUSING COSTS FOR THE AMERICAN PEOPLE

This executive order directs the Federal Housing Finance Agency to create pilot programs for automatic cancellation of mortgage insurance when borrowers have sufficient equity, and to expand a title insurance pilot to reduce costs for refinancing. It establishes a task force to promote manufactured housing by standardizing permits and reducing regulatory barriers. It also orders the Departments of Agriculture and Veterans Affairs to reduce interest rates on direct home loans.

$FNMA $FMCC $MTG $ESNT $FNF $FAF

6/10Source

presidential_memorandumOct 8, 2026

Establishment of a Committee of Inquiry to Investigate Allegations of False Statements by Lisa DeNell Cook

This memorandum establishes a committee to investigate Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook for alleged false statements related to mortgage instruments, with a hearing scheduled and a recommendation on removal. It directs the Attorney General, Counsel to the President, and others to participate, and sets a timeline for findings.

$JPM $BAC $WFC $GS

4/10Source

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