billHJRES105Event Thursday, December 11, 2025Analyzed

Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted by the Bureau of Land Management relating to "North Dakota Field Office Record of Decision and Approved Resource Management Plan".

Bullish

Summary

Congress has nullified the BLM's North Dakota Resource Management Plan that limited oil/gas and coal development. This reinstates the less restrictive 1988 plan, directly benefiting Bakken oil producers like Chord Energy and Northern Oil and Gas, as well as coal miners Peabody Energy and Arch Resources. Midstream operator Energy Transfer also stands to gain from increased production volumes.

See which stocks are affected

Key takeaways, market implications, full AI analysis, and connected signals are available to HillSignal members.

Already have an account? Log in

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Bakken oil producers CHRD and NOG gain access to previously restricted federal acreage, supporting production growth.
  • 2.Coal miners BTU and ARCH benefit from removal of geographic leasing restrictions in North Dakota.
  • 3.Midstream operator ET sees increased throughput potential from higher regional production.

Market Implications

The enactment of H.J.Res.105 removes a regulatory overhang for North Dakota energy producers. Chord Energy (CHRD) and Northern Oil and Gas (NOG) are best positioned given their pure-play Bakken exposure. Coal stocks Peabody (BTU) and Arch (ARCH) also benefit from revived coal leasing. Energy Transfer (ET) will see incremental throughput gains as production rises. Investors should monitor Q1 2026 earnings for updated guidance on drilling plans.

Full Analysis

On December 11, 2025, President Biden signed H.J.Res.105 into law (Public Law 119-49), disapproving the Bureau of Land Management's January 2025 Record of Decision and Approved Resource Management Plan for the North Dakota Field Office. The disapproved rule had restricted oil and gas development in low-potential areas and limited new coal leasing to within four miles of existing mines. By nullifying this rule, the 1988 North Dakota RMP – which allowed broader leasing and development – is reinstated.

This is a Congressional Review Act resolution, so no direct funding is involved. The money trail is regulatory relief: operators no longer face the 2025 restrictions, reducing compliance costs and unlocking federal acreage for drilling and mining. The primary beneficiaries are pure-play Bakken producers Chord Energy (CHRD) and Northern Oil and Gas (NOG), as they have significant acreage in the areas previously restricted. Coal miners Peabody (BTU) and Arch Resources (ARCH) benefit from expanded coal leasing opportunities. Midstream companies like Energy Transfer (ET) see increased throughput from higher production.

Market implications: Since the law is already enacted, the immediate impact is the removal of regulatory uncertainty. Bakken-focused E&Ps may see upward revisions to inventory valuations. Coal stocks could gain from expanded reserve life. No fabricated price data is provided, but the structural shift is clear.

Timeline: The bill was introduced on July 10, 2025, passed the House on September 3, the Senate on October 8, and was signed on December 11. No further steps remain.

Intelligence Surface

Cross-referenced against federal contracts, SEC insider filings & congressional trade disclosures

Unconfirmed

No confirming evidence found yet from contracts, insider trades, or congressional activity

$$CHRD▲ Bullish
Est. $50.0M$150.0M revenue impact

What the bill does

Congressional Review Act nullification of BLM rule restricting oil/gas development in low-potential areas of North Dakota

Who must act

Bureau of Land Management (BLM)

What happens

Reinstates 1988 RMP allowing oil/gas leasing and development in previously restricted low-potential areas; removes limitation on new coal leasing to within 4 miles of existing mines

Stock impact

Chord Energy's primary assets are in the Bakken shale of North Dakota. Expanded acreage available for drilling directly increases its inventory of drillable locations, supporting production growth and reserve additions.

$$BTU▲ Bullish
Est. $20.0M$60.0M revenue impact

What the bill does

Nullification of rule limiting new coal leasing to within 4 miles of existing mines

Who must act

Bureau of Land Management (BLM)

What happens

Removes geographic restriction on new coal leases, allowing development of additional federal coal reserves in North Dakota

Stock impact

Peabody Energy operates coal mines in North Dakota (e.g., Freedom Mine). Expanded leasing opportunities increase its reserve base and potential production from ND properties.

Key Legislators

Rep. Fedorchak, Julie [R-ND-At Large]

Connected Signals

Matched on shared policy language across AI analyses, with ticker & timing weight

BillNeutral

Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted by the Bureau of Land Management relating to "Miles City Field Office Record of Decision and Approved Resource Management Plan Amendment".

Shared tickers: $BTU$CNX · $BTU · $ARLP +1
ContractBullish

PANTEXAS DETERRENCE, LLC: $3.5B Department of Energy Contract

Same sector: Energy
ContractNeutral

FERMI FORWARD DISCOVERY GROUP, LLC: $2.4B Department of Energy Contract

Same sector: Energy
BillBullish

Presidential Memorandum: Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 303 of the Defense Production Act of 1950, as Amended, on Coal Supply Chains and Baseload Power Generation Capacity

Same sector: Energy
BillBullish

Presidential Memorandum: Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 303 of the Defense Production Act of 1950, as Amended, on Domestic Petroleum Production, Refining, and Logistics Capacity

Same sector: Energy
BillBullish

Presidential Memorandum: Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 303 of the Defense Production Act of 1950, as Amended, on Development, Manufacturing, and Deployment of Large-Scale Energy and Energy‑Related Infrastructure

Same sector: Energy
BillBullish

Presidential Memorandum: Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 303 of the Defense Production Act of 1950, as Amended, on Natural Gas Transmission, Processing, Storage, and Liquefied Natural Gas Capacity

Same sector: Energy
BillBullish

Presidential Memorandum: Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 303 of the Defense Production Act of 1950, as Amended, on Grid Infrastructure, Equipment, and Supply Chain Capacity

Same sector: Energy

Related Presidential Actions

Executive orders & memoranda affecting the same sectors or companies

proclamationJun 2, 2026

Further Adjusting the Tariff Regimes for Imports of Aluminum, Steel, and Copper into the United States

This proclamation modifies existing Section 232 tariffs on aluminum, steel, and copper imports by expanding the list of derivative products eligible for a reduced 15% duty to include agricultural equipment and residential HVAC systems, temporarily reducing tariffs on mobile industrial equipment, adding aluminum lithographic plates and steel racks to the derivative tariff coverage, and lowering the threshold for products to qualify as made 'entirely' from American metals from 95% to 85%.

presidential_memorandumMay 29, 2026

Approving Critical Position Pay Authority for National Security Investment Workforce

This memorandum authorizes the Office of Personnel Management to allocate up to 400 critical positions with pay up to $400,000 to recruit specialized talent for national security investment programs, focusing on critical minerals, advanced materials, and strategic supply chains. It directs OPM and OMB to oversee allocation and ensure pay is used only to recruit or retain exceptionally qualified individuals. The action aims to accelerate domestic mineral production and reduce foreign dependence.

Exec OrderMay 29, 2026

Removing Unnecessary and Counterproductive Restrictions on Access to Federal Lands

This executive order rescinds two 1970s-era executive orders (11644 and 11989) that required federal agencies to use vague environmental and social criteria when designating off-road vehicle use on federal lands. It directs the Secretaries of War, Interior, Agriculture, the TVA Board, and other relevant agency heads to initiate rulemakings to remove or revise regulations based on those criteria, aiming to increase access for energy, timber, utility maintenance, and recreation.