Keep Your Coins Act of 2025
Summary
The Keep Your Coins Act of 2025 would prohibit federal agencies from restricting self-custody of digital assets — removing the single largest regulatory overhang on the US crypto ecosystem. For pure-play crypto companies like $COIN, $MSTR, $RIOT, and $CLSK, this bill eliminates the risk of a federal ban on self-hosted wallets that would have directly threatened their business models. The bill is at an early stage (referred to committee, 2 cosponsors), indicating low near-term passage probability, but represents a clear legislative bull case for the sector.
See which stocks are affected
Key takeaways, market implications, full AI analysis, and connected signals are available to HillSignal members.
Already have an account? Log in
Key Takeaways
- 1.The Keep Your Coins Act prohibits federal restrictions on self-custody of digital assets — removing the single largest regulatory overhang on US crypto markets.
- 2.The bill is at an early stage (referred to committee, no hearings) with low near-term passage probability, but represents a clear legislative bull case if it advances.
- 3.Pure-play crypto companies ($COIN, $MSTR, $RIOT, $CLSK) face reduced existential regulatory risk if passed; diversified tech companies are not materially affected.
Market Implications
The market has not priced in any probability of this bill passing — crypto-exposed equities have rallied on BTC price action and ETF flows, not legislative catalysts. COIN at $186.96 ($139.36-$444.65 52-week range) and MSTR at $164.10 ($104.17-$457.22) remain deeply discounted from highs. A committee hearing or a markup would be a catalyst for relative outperformance of these tickers versus broad equity indices. Until then, the bill is background noise — real regulatory risk (SEC enforcement, tax reporting rules) remains the dominant factor for crypto corporate valuations.
Full Analysis
Intelligence Surface
Cross-referenced against federal contracts, SEC insider filings & congressional trade disclosures
Some confirming evidence found across public data sources
What the bill does
Prohibition on federal agencies restricting self-custody or use of convertible virtual currency via self-hosted wallets.
Who must act
Federal agencies (e.g., Treasury, SEC, FinCEN) are prohibited from issuing regulations that restrict covered users' self-custody of digital assets or transactions through self-hosted wallets.
What happens
Removes the single largest regulatory overhang on the US crypto ecosystem — the risk of a federal ban on non-custodial wallets. Retail trading volumes, which are partially driven by self-custody and peer-to-peer transactions, are preserved from potential regulatory shrinkage.
Stock impact
Coinbase (COIN) generates the majority of its revenue from retail transaction fees via its centralized exchange. A regulatory ban on self-hosted wallets would have forced users onto custodial platforms or out of crypto entirely, contracting the addressable market. Passage of this bill removes that downside risk, preserving Coinbase's retail transaction fee base.
What the bill does
Prohibition on federal agencies restricting self-custody or use of convertible virtual currency via self-hosted wallets.
Who must act
Federal agencies (e.g., Treasury, SEC, FinCEN) are prohibited from issuing regulations that restrict covered users' self-custody of digital assets or transactions through self-hosted wallets.
What happens
Removes the risk of a federal ban on self-hosted wallets, which could have been interpreted to restrict corporate bitcoin treasury operations. Strategy (MSTR) holds bitcoin in custody; if self-custody were restricted or banned, the regulatory pathway for corporate bitcoin holdings could become untenable.
Stock impact
Strategy (MSTR) has built its corporate strategy around holding a large BTC treasury (the largest public company holder as of Q1 2026). A federal restriction on self-custody would threaten the legal framework enabling its core business thesis. This bill removes that existential regulatory risk, preserving the viability of the corporate BTC treasury model.
Market Impact Score
Connected Signals
Matched on shared policy language across AI analyses, with ticker & timing weight
Combatting Money Laundering in Cyber Crime Act of 2025
Clean Cloud Act of 2025
Combatting Money Laundering in Cyber Crime Act of 2025
Clean Cloud Act of 2025
Mined in America Act of 2026
BITCOIN Act of 2025
Digital Commodity Intermediaries Act
Regulation A+ Improvement Act of 2026
Related Presidential Actions
Executive orders & memoranda affecting the same sectors or companies
Imposing Sanctions on Those Responsible for Repression in Cuba and for Threats to United States National Security and Foreign Policy
This Executive Order expands the existing national emergency against the Government of Cuba by imposing broad secondary sanctions and asset freezes on foreign persons operating in key sectors of the Cuban economy (energy, defense, metals/mining, financial services, security). It authorizes the Treasury and State Departments to block property and deny entry to individuals and entities involved in repression, corruption, or support for the Cuban government, and empowers Treasury to sanction foreign financial institutions that facilitate transactions for designated persons. The order effectively tightens the U.S. embargo by targeting third-country companies and banks that do business with Cuba.
Promoting Retirement-Savings Access for American Workers by Establishing TrumpIRA.gov
This executive order directs the Treasury Secretary to create a government website (TrumpIRA.gov) by January 1, 2027, that lists private-sector IRAs meeting strict cost and quality criteria (net expense ratios ≤0.15%, no minimums) and promotes the existing federal Saver's Match of up to $1,000. It aims to increase retirement savings access for workers without employer plans, particularly independent contractors and self-employed individuals, by steering them toward low-cost, index-based investment options offered by qualifying financial institutions.
Promoting Efficiency, Accountability, and Performance in Federal Contracting
This executive order mandates that federal agencies default to using fixed-price contracts for procurement, shifting away from cost-reimbursement models. It requires written justification and senior-level approval for any non-fixed-price contract over certain dollar thresholds (e.g., $10M for most agencies, $100M for the Department of War), and directs agencies to review and renegotiate their 10 largest non-fixed-price contracts within 90 days. The order also tasks OMB with implementation guidance and the Federal Acquisition Regulatory Council with proposing regulatory amendments within 120 days.