Award NoticePosted Oct 3, 2025

Probability and Statistical Services for the Analysis of Missile Systems for Strategic Systems Programs (SSP)

Navy and Marine Corps · PAE STRATEGIC SYSTEMS PROGRAMS

Stage
Awarded
NAICS
541690
Value
$10.5M
Solicitation
N00030-26-C-2009_Post_Award
Set-aside
No Set aside used
PSC
R425
Place
Claremont, CA, USA
Contact
Michael Monte (michael.monte@ssp.navy.mil)
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CSV Email

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Where this opportunity stands

Every notice posted under solicitation N00030-26-C-2009_Post_Award in this department, oldest first.

Early notice
None posted
Solicitation
None posted
Award
  • Oct 3, 2025 · this notice
    Award Notice
    MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS RESEARCH CORP · $10.5M

Next steps for this stage

Standard steps for the notice type; not advice about this buyer.

  • Note the winner and the end of the period of performance for the recompete.
  • Follow the agency to see the next notice for this work.

What the notice says

Strategic Systems Programs (SSP) issued a Request for Proposal and negotiated a contract on a sole-source basis with Mathematical Analysis Research Corporation (MARC), Claremont, CA 91711, to provide technical support services for the Fleet Ballistic Missile (FBM) Missile System, D5 Life Extension (LE) Missile System, Launcher System, Reentry System, and D5 LE 2 Missile System. MARC will perform technical support services in the areas of: Reliability Assessment and Reporting Systems, Data Systems Evaluation, Test Program Evaluation, Program Support, and Numerical Techniques Development. MARC�s… (show all)

unique combination of expertise and 40 years of experience with the FBM program positions them to provide immediate response to emergent problems without requiring extensive training; thus, MARC is considered the only known source capable of performing this effort. It would take an extensive amount of additional training to position another contractor at the level of MARC�s expertise. Moreover, the contractor would lack the methodology history, of which MARC has. Consequently, SSP solicited and negotiated a contract on a sole source basis per the authority of 10 U.S.C. 2304(c)(1) (FAR Subsection 6.302-1 � Only one responsible source and no other supplies or services will satisfy agency requirements). SSP awarded a Firm-Fixed Price, Level-of-Effort (LOE), one (1) year base contract for Fiscal Year (FY) 2026 with a total of four (4) option year periods. For FY 2027 through FY 2030. Security Clearance Required. Each LOE line item is estimated to cover a twelve (12) month period of performance and will include option provisions to increase the LOE up to thirty percent (30%), in accordance with SSP terms and conditions. THIS NOTICE OF INTENT IS NOT A REQUEST FOR COMPETITIVE PROPOSALS.

Who won similar work

11 award notices on SAM.gov in the last 24 months. Matched by: Same office (PAE STRATEGIC SYSTEMS PROGRAMS), same product/service code (PSC) R425.

Single-winner award sizes (11): middle half $22.4M to $75.1M, median $43.5M; range $10.6M to $500.0M.

WinnerAwardsValueLast
SYSTEMS PLANNING AND ANALYSIS, INC.4$648.7MOct 1, 2026
BAE SYSTEMS TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS & SERVICES INC.2$165.1MOct 7, 2026
JRC INTEGRATED SYSTEMS, LLC2$23.5MDec 23, 2025
EMCUBE INC1$79.6MJan 8, 2025
NORTHROP GRUMMAN SYSTEMS CORPORATION · $NOC · $39.3B1$32.0MJul 15, 2026
BATTELLE MEMORIAL INSTITUTE Columbus OH 43201 USA1$10.6MApr 30, 2025

Value counts single-winner awards. "Shared" awards are multiple-award contracts that list every winner with the same total ceiling; that ceiling is not one company's win, so it is not added in. Revenue next to a ticker is the company's last annual revenue from its 10-K.

Investor context
  • $NOC reported $39.3B revenue in FY2025. The median single-winner award in these 11 past awards, $43.5M, is 0.1% of that. 10-K

One award's total value against one year of revenue; many awards are paid over several years.

Latest awards

Competitive landscape

For the 6 most frequent past winners above. Lobbying is matched by the company's exact name or exact ticker; agencies are as named on the filings.

  • 1 of these past winners lobbied Navy, Dept of or U.S. Marines since 2024 (16 filings)
  • 0 of their lobbyists list a past Navy, Dept of or U.S. Marines job
  • $441K from their corporate PACs since 2024 to members of House Committee on Appropriations, House Committee on Armed Services, Senate Committee on Appropriations, Senate Committee on Armed Services
  • 0 foreign-agent (FARA) registrations
See who and the source records with Pro

Policy around it

Bills the past winners named while lobbying this agency's issues, rules from the department, and executive orders that name the agency, last 12 months.

  • 8 bills named on the past winners' lobbying filings
  • 32 rules from the department in the last 12 months
  • 0 executive orders naming the agency in the last 12 months
See who and the source records with Pro

Market

For past winners matched exactly to a listed company. Insider trades are open-market buys and sells (Form 4) in the last 90 days, shown as facts; our own study found insiders do not reliably buy ahead of awards. A sale marked 10b5-1 was made under a trading plan set up in advance.

  • 1 of the past winners are listed companies
  • 0 insider buys and 1 insider sells at them in the last 90 days
See who and the source records with Pro

Sources: SAM.gov notices and award notices; Senate LDA lobbying filings; FEC filings; FARA; Federal Register; congress.gov; SEC Form 4. Every row above links to its record.

Companies are matched to tickers by exact name only. A company we could not match shows no market rows; that is a miss, not a finding.