Kalshi

Kalshi traders see greater than 50% odds the Fed will hike rates this year

More united Fed board seen at Warsh's first meeting, according to Kalshi traders

Strait of Hormuz traffic to return to normal as soon as August, Kalshi traders speculate

Odds that the Strait of Hormuz traffic will return to normal before August surpassed 50%, following U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement.

CME Group CEO Blasts Bitcoin Perpetual Futures, Warns of ‘2007’ Risk

CME Group (NASDAQ:CME) Chairman and CEO Terry Duffy sharply criticized the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s approval of a Bitcoin perpetual futures contract for Kalshi, saying the product does not fit his view of a futures contract and raises risks for retail investors. Speaking at an investo

Reports of a Future SpaceX-Tesla Merger Are Picking Up Steam. But Is Such a Complex Deal Actually Feasible?

Media reports and even people betting on Kalshi continue to see an increasing likelihood that all of Elon Musk's companies could soon merge.

Individual traders drove Kalshi’s rise. Now, it’s going for Wall Street

In a series of moves in 2026, the prediction market platform in the U.S. is working to make its event contracts more attractive to institutional trading.

Interactive Brokers Expands Prediction Markets Push: What Does it Mean?

IBKR debuts one interface for Kalshi, CME and ForecastEx prediction markets, letting clients compare contracts and route trades from a single screen.

Insider Alert? A Trump Iran Announcement Got Front-Ran By 'Well-Timed' Oil Bets

Kalshi flagged 400+ suspicious trades this year, more than double 2025, as Reuters reports well-timed oil bets preceded Trump's Iran announcement.

Scott Bessent Predicts Crude Spike Will Reverse 'Quickly,' But Prediction Markets Doubt He's Right

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says Iran's oil terminal has gone three days without loading a tanker and the WTI spike will reverse quickly. Polymarket and Kalshi traders are pricing the opposite.